本日黃金白銀市況 Market for Gold and Silver today

From: 王鼎貴金屬

金價週四連跌第三天,錄得約一個月來持續最長的跌勢,受累於技術面疲弱和出脫避險頭寸,因
緊張的投資者對歐債危機傳來時好時壞的消息作出反應.金價下跌,因市場再次樂見義大利在組
建聯合政府取得進展,之前希臘尋找前歐洲央行副總裁帕帕季莫斯執掌該國嚴苛的經濟改革.
其他避險資產大幅下跌也打壓金價,此前美國財政部標售的30年期公債成績乏善足陳,美國公
債領跌其他避險資產.歐洲情勢造成波動性令價格大幅上落,使一些投資者望而卻步.美股反彈
,加上歐洲情勢至少目前而言有一些樂觀因素,造成金價下跌.技術因素也是金價下跌的原因之
一,(期金)跌穿在1,755美元的支援位元.


現貨金跌0.6%,至1,758.70美元.期金收低32美元至1,759.60美元.成交量較其30日均值高出約
五分一,連續第二天打破近期交投放緩的趨勢.稍早,期金跌穿在近期低位附近的技術支援位
每盎司1,755美元後,期金跌速加劇.分析師說,其他市場追繳保證金的影響發酵,也打壓金價
早盤表現,上日在美股勁跌約4%和美元急升之際,金價僅小幅下跌.LCH Clearnet上調對義大
利公債保證金的事實可能令投資者在其他資產平倉,以滿足保證金要求,現貨銀下滑0.3%,至
每盎司33.94美元.現貨白金下跌0.6%,至1,616.24美元,而現貨鈀金微升0.01美元,至644.50
美元.

Easing overnight as Italy met its bond auction target, gold opened lower
at 1767.50/1768.50, rising to an intraday high of 1775.25/1776.25 just
ahead of jobs data. Giving up early gains on positive data, the metal
reached an intraday low of 1735.50/1736.50 mid morning. Renewed
buying interest had gold slowly recover to close the day at 1758/1759.


Silver opened lower at 34.07/34.12 on weaker base metal prices. After
reaching an intraday high of 34.30/34.35 early morning, as crude
gained, pressure from depressed base metals began to drag silver
lower. Profit taking took the metal to its intraday low of 33.11/33.16 mid
morning. As with gold, renewed buying interest saw silver close almost
unchanged at 34.05/34.10.



Gold closed sharply lower today at 1758, below the 61.8% Fibonacci
support level at 1773. This is a disappointing development for the bulls;
however, gold remains in its uptrend so long as it holds the trendline
support level at 1663 and preferably the November 1 low at 1681. We
note that the past 4 daily candles in spot gold resemble the first 4
candles in a bullish rising three methods pattern (long white/up candle
followed by 3 short black/down candles). A long white candle tomorrow
would provide confirmation of a continuation to the bullish trend.
Silver is also closing lower today at current 33.86, but was able to hold
the trendline support at 33.22 on a closing basis. The lower low today
provides confirmation that the November 8th high of 35.34 was an
interim top, and we may see further consolidation before silver is able to
make the next leg higher. Support sits at 32.11, the November 1st low,
and resistance is at 33.86. The Gold-Silver ratio is closing unchanged at 51.1.